Structural baseline: bundled city files were last changed 2026-05-08โ€“2026-09-25. Those are file-maintenance timestamps, not observation dates. Rankings use historical workforce composition and fixed heuristic weights; they are not real-time labour-market readings or displacement probabilities.

10 Lowest-Scoring Cities in the Exposure Index

The lowest-scoring cities in CopeCheck's historical, heuristic sector-exposure comparison across 6 countries.

These are the 10 cities with the lowest scores under CopeCheck's sector-exposure heuristic. The model gives lower weights to sectors such as healthcare, education, and public administration. A low score is not a safety forecast and does not establish how many jobs will change or when.

#1

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Canberra, Australia

Heuristic score: 37.6/100 ยท Baseline population: 462,213

With a heuristic exposure score of 37.6/100, Canberra ranks toward the lower end of this comparison. 46.9% of the bundled employment snapshot sits in health, education, and public administration, which receive lower weights in this model. 18.8% sits in sectors assigned higher exposure weights. This is a structural screening result, not a forecast of how many jobs will disappear or when.

Public Administration & Defence: 30.2% Professional, Scientific & Technical: 12.5% Education: 8.5%
#2

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Darwin, Australia

Heuristic score: 47.3/100 ยท Baseline population: 147,255

With a heuristic exposure score of 47.3/100, Darwin ranks toward the lower end of this comparison. 39.5% of the bundled employment snapshot sits in health, education, and public administration, which receive lower weights in this model. 25.2% sits in sectors assigned higher exposure weights. This is a structural screening result, not a forecast of how many jobs will disappear or when.

Public Administration & Defence: 19.2% Human Health & Social Work: 12.8% Retail: 9.2%
#3

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Cambridge, United Kingdom

Heuristic score: 48.0/100 ยท Baseline population: 145,700

With a heuristic exposure score of 48.0/100, Cambridge ranks toward the lower end of this comparison. 35.0% of the bundled employment snapshot sits in health, education, and public administration, which receive lower weights in this model. 24.8% sits in sectors assigned higher exposure weights. This is a structural screening result, not a forecast of how many jobs will disappear or when.

Education: 16.8% Human Health & Social Work: 13.4% Professional, Scientific & Technical: 12.8%
#4

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Ottawa, Canada

Heuristic score: 48.2/100 ยท Baseline population: 1,017,449

With a heuristic exposure score of 48.2/100, Ottawa ranks toward the lower end of this comparison. 36.2% of the bundled employment snapshot sits in health, education, and public administration, which receive lower weights in this model. 23.8% sits in sectors assigned higher exposure weights. This is a structural screening result, not a forecast of how many jobs will disappear or when.

Public Administration & Defence: 18.5% Professional, Scientific & Technical: 12.8% Human Health & Social Work: 9.5%
#5

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Oxford, United Kingdom

Heuristic score: 48.8/100 ยท Baseline population: 152,450

With a heuristic exposure score of 48.8/100, Oxford ranks toward the lower end of this comparison. 37.0% of the bundled employment snapshot sits in health, education, and public administration, which receive lower weights in this model. 26.4% sits in sectors assigned higher exposure weights. This is a structural screening result, not a forecast of how many jobs will disappear or when.

Education: 17.2% Human Health & Social Work: 14.2% Professional, Scientific & Technical: 11.4%
#6

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Wellington, New Zealand

Heuristic score: 49.1/100 ยท Baseline population: 215,400

With a heuristic exposure score of 49.1/100, Wellington ranks toward the lower end of this comparison. 35.9% of the bundled employment snapshot sits in health, education, and public administration, which receive lower weights in this model. 25.2% sits in sectors assigned higher exposure weights. This is a structural screening result, not a forecast of how many jobs will disappear or when.

Public Administration & Defence: 18.2% Professional, Scientific & Technical: 12.5% Human Health & Social Work: 9.2%
#7

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Victoria, Canada

Heuristic score: 50.0/100 ยท Baseline population: 397,237

With a heuristic exposure score of 50.0/100, Victoria ranks toward the lower end of this comparison. 35.5% of the bundled employment snapshot sits in health, education, and public administration, which receive lower weights in this model. 25.9% sits in sectors assigned higher exposure weights. This is a structural screening result, not a forecast of how many jobs will disappear or when.

Public Administration & Defence: 14.8% Human Health & Social Work: 11.5% Retail: 10.2%
#8

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Hobart, Australia

Heuristic score: 51.5/100 ยท Baseline population: 247,461

With a heuristic exposure score of 51.5/100, Hobart ranks toward the lower end of this comparison. 36.9% of the bundled employment snapshot sits in health, education, and public administration, which receive lower weights in this model. 28.5% sits in sectors assigned higher exposure weights. This is a structural screening result, not a forecast of how many jobs will disappear or when.

Human Health & Social Work: 15.2% Public Administration & Defence: 12.5% Retail: 10.5%
#9

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Dunedin, New Zealand

Heuristic score: 53.4/100 ยท Baseline population: 134,200

With a heuristic exposure score of 53.4/100, Dunedin ranks toward the lower end of this comparison. 35.5% of the bundled employment snapshot sits in health, education, and public administration, which receive lower weights in this model. 30.2% sits in sectors assigned higher exposure weights. This is a structural screening result, not a forecast of how many jobs will disappear or when.

Human Health & Social Work: 15.2% Education: 14.5% Retail: 10.5%
#10

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Townsville, Australia

Heuristic score: 53.7/100 ยท Baseline population: 180,820

With a heuristic exposure score of 53.7/100, Townsville ranks toward the lower end of this comparison. 36.1% of the bundled employment snapshot sits in health, education, and public administration, which receive lower weights in this model. 29.8% sits in sectors assigned higher exposure weights. This is a structural screening result, not a forecast of how many jobs will disappear or when.

Human Health & Social Work: 14.5% Public Administration & Defence: 12.8% Retail: 10.8%

Methodology

Rankings use bundled historical workforce-composition snapshots and CopeCheck's hand-set sector-exposure weights. Frey & Osborne estimated occupation-level susceptibility, not probabilities for whole sectors; this index is therefore a comparative heuristic, not a direct replication, current official statistic, or forecast of job losses. The bundled records do not include record-level dates or source ledgers.

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